送交者: 岳麓山 于 July 13, 2001 11:53:50:

回答: 只会写公式是不管用的. 由 008 于 July 12, 2001 23:44:42:

从贝叶斯后验概率的角度看来，第10次朝上的概率要远超过1/2了。
这是贝叶斯统计与非贝叶斯统计的区别压。

• who did you mean? - steven (236 bytes) 22:29:22 7/13/01 (8)
  • 对不起, 不会英文 - 008temp (647 bytes) 21:52:24 7/14/01 (7)
    • statistical result. - steven (864 bytes) 02:21:01 7/16/01 (6)
      • looks like web server filtered out some text. - steven (775 bytes) 11:03:42 7/16/01 (5)
        • If you don't agree "small probability == will not happen" - 008 (557 bytes) 10:35:59 7/17/01 (4)
          • what if there were 2037 tossing before you see that 9 tossing? - steven (672 bytes) 21:49:14 7/17/01 (3)
            • yes, like you said, - 008 (474 bytes) 11:34:36 7/18/01 (2)
              • the outcome of a small experimental set does not affact the probability. - steven (1679 bytes) 14:19:39 7/18/01 (1)
                • no - 008 (125 bytes) 21:18:59 7/18/01 (0)

加跟贴