送交者: 008 于 July 17, 2001 10:35:59:
回答: looks like web server filtered out some text. 由 steven 于 July 16, 2001 11:03:42:
we don't need to discuss any more. We are looking at the world in a different way.
As pointed out before, you are depending too much on the formula to notice the meaning behind the formula. I really don't care what you learned from probability courses, the only thing I know is that if I see 9 tossings get heads I say the 10th tossing will get head too. Otherwise, I think I am an idiot.
Of course I may be wrong, but backed up by the 9 heads, the probability that I am right is way greater than you are right. This is called the theory of probability.