这次股市大跌动摇了很多人对buy&hold模型的信仰

送交者: Enlighten 于 2008-10-28, 15:55:48:

回答: 连GREENSPAN这么牛人的模型都有问题，所以我们不妨挑战传统给TIMING一次机会。由 Enlighten 于 2008-10-28, 15:30:36:

maybe buy&hold will still work after the crisis. however, the result of buy&hold during this entire crisis is that you lose 40%, which does not add any credential to the model.

所有跟贴:

so some type of "timing" or trend following is definitely necessary. (无内容) - Enlighten (0 bytes) 2008-10-28, 15:57:52 (269318)
- this is a typical "timing thought" and you will learn the lesson (无内容) - xinku (0 bytes) 2008-10-28, 16:02:19 (269320)
  - this is a very complex issue both philosophically and - Enlighten (426 bytes) 2008-10-28, 16:14:07 (269322)
    - Market timing = Following the market - aiwojia (1243 bytes) 2008-10-28, 20:31:51 (269354)

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