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送交者: Amsel 于 2008-06-11, 20:41:50:

回答: 斑竹引用的那片Science文章说的就是地震可以预测 由 波一波 于 2008-06-11, 20:30:16:

1、国外的问题是“某些地震能不能预报”题,中国的问题则是“是不是所有大地震都能预报”、“该不该支持民科报地震”。

2、不知道science这个作者学术水平有多高、多大程度上代表地震学界主流,但是该文最后一段的类比,完全不是一种学术态度,类似民科强调。

引用:
At the time of Columbus, most experts asserted that one could not reach India by sailing from Europe to the west and that funds should not be wasted on such a folly. Geller et al. make a similar mistake, but I doubt that human curiosity and ingenuity can be prevented in the long run from exploring fully the extent to which at least some earthquakes are predictable, although it is not easy. Such discoveries will be made in Japan, Europe, or China if the current lack of funding for earthquake prediction research continues in the United States.




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