送交者: xj 于 2005-10-29, 14:25:02:
回答: is it a wordpress based blog system? 由 柯南 于 2005-10-29, 12:56:37:
应该弄个BLOG来KEEP TRACK 这事。
好像国内还没有人感染。
偶个人觉得这次闹得凶是因为检测率上去了。以前大家不测这个病毒,所以人病了也就这么病了。这次大家重视了,所以一看病毒性肺炎就查病毒,追踪病源。病人数当然就上去了。
很难想象这鸟类常驻的病毒要等到今年才变异到人体,还连续进攻。
但是好像人还没有传人。所以一直处于散发状态。
Statistically speaking, the probability of being infected by avian flu for those duck or chick carers are very high. In fact, it is amazing that we only have handful cases. It is a perfect poisson distribution now (in fact, negative bionomial if cases are clustered).