送交者: xj 于 2005-5-12, 19:02:27:
回答: The flaw of binomial trial argument is not in the hidden sample size 由 wasguru 于 2005-5-12, 18:54:50:
but the point that viewing a continuous coin toss as binomial, the N is important and has a similar role to sample size.
If in the case of unfair coin, i.e., p not equals to 0.5, bayesian point of view makes sense. The six head in a row may indeed suggest the assumed probability of 0.5 is violated.