I think he quoted those numbers from this article from a right-wing web site.


所有跟贴·加跟贴·新语丝读书论坛

送交者: newcomer36 于 2020-09-22, 14:43:27:

回答: 焦黄只负责自言自语,不负责讨论问题,你爱看不看爱说不说随意 由 ASH 于 2020-09-22, 14:01:55:

https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/professor-lockdown-modeler-resigns-in-disgrace/

but he (jhuang) probably didn't even know if Ferguson made those predictions or not. And remember, the outcomes of particular events also depend on human reactions/behaviors (and luck as well, e.g., how quickly you can develop an effective vaccine). These sorts of nuances are not somebody like jhuang can understand.

Anyway, I am not defending Ferguson here. The performance of Ferguson's model (or his personal ethnics) is irrelevant to my points in my posts above.




所有跟贴:


加跟贴

笔名: 密码: 注册笔名请按这里

标题:

内容: (BBCode使用说明