yup, 20 times is a decent number, this is a point I missed.



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送交者: mangolasi 于 2006-4-27, 11:12:10:

回答: your 非线性 is wrong too. here should use "average" 由 Enlighten 于 2006-4-27, 11:05:45:

Then the design of the experiment is perfectly (in my eye) in line with its intended purpose.

But Mr. Fang's arugment is still problemetic, or at least ambigous. It seems to me that he did not realize the eventual outcome after TWENTIES times would be approximately the expected return of the game. He talked about "probability" and "every time", giving an impression that he did not realized the LLN aspect of the game, and that he focus only on expected return of each time.



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